3.
　　 In this argument the author concludes that the city should allocate¹ some of its arts funding to public television. The conclusion is based on two facts: (1) attendance at the city's art museum has increased proportionally with the increases in visual-arts program viewing on public television, and (2) public television is being threatened by severe cuts in corporate² funding. White this argument is somewhat convincing, a few concerns need to be addressed.

      To begin with, the argument depends on the assumption that increased exposure to the visual arts on television,mainly public television, has caused a similar increase in local art-museum attendance. However, just because increased art-museum attendance can be statistically³ correlated with similar increases in television viewing of visual-arts programs, this does not necessarily mean that the increased television viewing of arts is the cause of the rise in museum attendance.

      Moreover, perhaps there are other factors relevant to increased interest in the local art museum; for instance, maybe a new director had procured⁴ more interesting, exciting acquisitions and exhibits during the period when museum attendance increased, in addition, the author could be overlooking a common cause of both increases. It is possible that some larger social or cultural phenomenon is responsible for greater public interest in both television arts programming and municipal art museums.

      To be fair, however, we must recognize that the author's assumption is a special case of a more general one that television viewing affects people's attitudes and behavior. Common sense and observation tells me that this is indeed the case. After all, advertisers spend billions of dollars on television ad time because they trust this assumption as well.

      In conclusion, I am somewhat persuaded by this author's line of reasoning. The argument would be strengthened if the author were to consider and rule out other significant factors that might have caused the increase in visits to the local art museum.

4.
　　 In response to a coincidence between calling revenues and delays in manufacturing, the report recommends replacing the manager of the purchasing department. The grounds for this action are twofold. First, the delays are traced to poor planning in purchasing metals. Second, the purchasing manager's lack of knowledge of the properties of metals is thought to be the cause of the poor planning. It is further recommended that the position of the purchasing manager be filled by a scientist from the research division and that the current purchasing manager be reassigned to the sales department. In support of this latter recommendation, the report states that the current purchasing manager's background in
generalbusiness, psychology⁵, and sociology equip him for this new assignment. The recommendations advanced in the report are questionable⁶ for two reasons.

      To begin with, the report fails to establish a causal connection between the falling revenues of the company and the delays in manufacturing. The mere⁷ fact that falling revenues coincide with delays in manufacturing is insufficient⁸ to conclude that the delays caused the decline in revenue. Without compelling evidence to support the causal connection between these two events, the report's recommendations are not worthy⁹ of consideration.

      Second, a central assumption of the report is that knowledge of the properties of metals is necessary for planning in purchasing metals. No evidence is stated in the report to support this crucial assumption. Moreover, it is not obvious that such knowledge would be required to perform this task. Since planning is essentially¹⁰ a logistical function, it is doubtful that in-depth knowledge of the properties of metals would be helpful in accomplishing this task.

      In conclusion, this is a weak argument. To strengthen the recommendation that the manager of the purchasing department be replaced, the author would have to demonstrate that the falling revenues were a result of the delays in manufacturing. Additionally, the author would have to show that knowledge of the properties of metals is a prerequisite¹¹ for planning in purchasing metals.