气候变化造成的恐惧预测

From apocalyptic¹（启示录的） forecasting to estimates of mass extinctions, climate change is a topic which is filled with fearful predictions for the future. In his latest research, published in WIREs Climate Change, historian Matthias Dörries examines the cultural significance of fear and how it became a central presence in current debates over climate change. Climatic change, as represented by the media, often prompts headlines predicting disastrous² events, frequently adopting fear laden³（负载的，装满的） language including analogies（类比，比拟） with war and warnings of the imminence⁴（迫切，急迫） or irreversibility of pending⁵ catastrophes⁷. For Professor Matthias Dörries from the University of Strasbourg, a culture of fear is alive, and doing very well.

Professor Dörries looks at the issue of fear from a historical perspective, asking how our current society has come to conceive of climate change in terms of catastrophe⁶ and fear.

"Recently historians have underlined the necessity to revise the grand Enlightenment narrative⁸ of science as antidote⁹（解毒剂） to fear," Dörries stresses, "We should now look at how popular and scientific discourses¹¹ frame fear, and study the constructive¹² and destructive functions of these fear discourses in societies."

The 1960s and 1970s were characterized by an increasing appropriation¹³ of the future by science, leading to a rise of fear discourses by scientists themselves.

"For the very long run, science has indeed some terrifying prospects¹⁴ to offer for the planet Earth, and on a scale of decades, science has identified serious threats, such as anthropogenic（人为的） climate change," Dörries remarks.

"The current discourse¹⁰ of fear over climate change reflects the attempts to come to grips with the long-term issue of anthropogenic climate change," concludes Dörries. "They are appeals for action, they imply claims to power, they stress that the issue is political and cultural, not merely a matter of science and reason alone."