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Passage Twenty-one (The Result of the Falling US Dollar) Like a ticking time bomb, the falling dollar has grabbed the attention of Japan and West Germany, forcing them to consider adopting economic polices the United States advocates. The U.S. government wants the dollar to fall because as the dollar declines in value against the yen1 and Deutsche mark, U.S. good becomes cheaper. U.S. companies then sell more at home and abroad, and U.S. trade deficit2 declines. Cries for trade protection abate3, and the global free-trade system is preserved. Then, the cheaper dollar makes it cheaper for many foreign investors5 to snap up U.S. stocks. That prompts heavy buying from abroad-especially from Japan. Also, if the trade picture is improving, that means U.S. companies eventually will be more competitive. Consequently, many investors are buying shares of export-oriented U.S. companies in anticipation6 of better profits in the next year or so. But that is a rather faddish7 notion right now; if corporate8 earnings9 are disappointing in interest rates, the stock market rally could stall. Improving U.S. competitiveness means a decline in another’s competitiveness. Japan and West Germany are verging10 on recession. Their export-oriented economies are facing major problems. Japan is worried about the damage the strong yen will do to Japanese trade. West Germany is also worried. Share prices in Frankfurt plummeted11 this past week. Bonn is thought to be considering a cut in interest rates to boost its economy. Could the falling dollar get out of hand? If the dollar falls too far, investors might lose confidence in U.S. investments-especially the government bond market. The money to finance the federal budget and trade deficits12 could migrate elsewhere. Inflation could flare13 up, too, since Japanese and German manufacturers will eventually pass along price hikes-and U.S. companies might follow suit to increase their profit margins14. The U.S. federal Reserve then might need to step in and stabilize15 the dollar by raising interest rates. And higher interest rates could cause the U.S. economy to slow down and end the Wall Street Rally. Worried about these side effects, Federal Reserve chairman Paul Volcher has said the dollar has fallen far enough. What is the equilibrium16 level? Probably near where it is or slightly lower. It all depends on when the U.S. trade deficit turns around or if investors defect from U.S. Treasury17 Bonds. “It requires a good deal of political patience on the part of the U.S. Congress,” says Dr. Cline, “And there must be an expectation of patience on the part of private investors. The chance are relatively18 good that we will avoid an investor4 break or panic.” 1. What is the main idea of this passage? [A]. The impression of the falling U.S. dollar. [B]. The result of the U.S. falling dollar. [C]. The side effect of U.S. falling dollar. [D]. Japan and West Germany are worried about U.S. falling dollar. 2. What does the word “rally” mean. [A]. prosperity. [B]. decline. [C]. richness. [D]. import. 3. Why are Japan and West Germany worried about the falling dollar? [A]. Because the falling dollar may cause inflation in their countries. [B]. Because it may force them to sell a lot of U.S, stocks. [C]. Because it may do damage to their trade. [D]. Because it may make Japanese company less competitive. 4. If dollar-falling got out of hand, and the U.S. Federal Reserve might step in , what would happen? [A]. The prosperity of the U.S. economy would disappear. [B]. The U.S. economy might face serious problems. [C]. Investors might lose confidence in U.S. investments. [D].Inflation could flare up. Vocabulary 1. ticking 滴答作响的 2. grab 抓住 3. abate 减弱 4. snap up 争购，5. 抢购 6. heavy buying 大量买进 7. export-oriented 以出口为方向的 8. in anticipation of 期待，9. 预期 10. faddish 一时流行的 11. spree 无节制的疯狂行为 12. buying spree 狂购乱买 点击  收听单词发音
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