The ancient reserves of methane1(甲烷) gas seeping3 from the melting Arctic ice cap told Jeff Chanton and fellow researchers what they already knew: As the permafrost(永久冻土) thaws4, there is a release of methane, a powerful greenhouse gas that causes climate warming. The trick was figuring out how much, said Chanton, the John W. Winchester Professor of Oceanography at Florida State University.
The four-member team -- whose findings were published in the journal Nature Geoscience -- documented a large number of gas seep2 sites in the Arctic where permafrost is thawing5 and glaciers6 receding7 (they found 77 previously8 undocumented seep sites, comprising 150,000 vents9 to the atmosphere). Until recently, the cryosphere(冰冻圈) (frozen soil and ice) has served to plug or block these vents. But thawing conditions have allowed the conduits to open, and deep geologic10 methane now escapes.
The team studied the link between natural gas seepage11 and the melting ice cap, using aerial photos and field data to figure out the number -- and location -- of seep holes.
So, here's the rub: The more the ice cap melts, the more methane is released into the atmosphere -- and the more the climate warms.
Why should this matter to you?
People who live in coastal12 areas could be directly affected13, said Chanton, who analyzed14 the methane and dated it to more than 40,000 years old.
All this seeping methane causes more melting ice, Chanton said, which causes sea levels to rise and could affect coastal real estate values -- sooner rather than later.
How soon?
Possibly over the next 50 to 100 years, Chanton said.
"Methane is a very strong greenhouse gas that's grown three times faster than carbon dioxide since the industrial era," Chanton said. "As the Arctic warms, the ice caps melt and the fissures15 open, so methane escapes and causes more warming."
This phenomenon causes sea levels to rise, which is particularly problematic in Florida: "Along the flat Florida coastline, a 1-foot rise in sea level could cause anywhere from 10 to 100 feet of shoreline retreat -- erosion," Chanton said. "For us here in Florida, this is really important because we can expect the coast to recede16."
That beach house, he warned, might be in peril17: "It may not be there for your grandchildren."