A Deakin University study has found for the first time that, just like humans, unpredictability（不可预测性） is also a consistent behavioral trait in the animal world. Animals are known to show consistent individual differences in behavior, which is often referred to as them displaying 'personality'. In contrast to previous research into these predictable aspects of behavior, this latest study has shown for the first time that some individual animals, just like humans, are consistently more unpredictable than others over time.

 

Unpredictability is a known and accepted aspect of human behavior much like we've always viewed predictable aspects of personality. However, until now it has never been studied in animals.

 

"We all know someone who is notoriously unpredictable - happy, friendly, supportive one day and grumpy（脾气暴躁的） and unhappy the next. My experience is that those people tend to be extroverts¹（外向型人格）. Even though I don't know what to expect of them, I am often torn between liking² them because they are easy to talk to and fun to be with, and disliking them for their volatility," said Associate Professor Peter Biro, a behavioral ecologist with Deakin's School of Life and Environmental Sciences and lead researcher on this study.

 

"Until now, unpredictability has only been studied extensively in humans, where it has been linked to learning, aging, and to certain diseases that produce erratic³（不稳定的） behavior due to fluctuations⁴ in brain chemicals.

 

"The results of this new study shed light on another important aspect of animal personality that has previously⁵ not been considered."

 

Working with Dr Bart Adriaenssens at the University of New South Wales, Dr Biro observed the behavior of adult male mosquitofish over 132 days. They found that the behavior of some individuals was consistently more predictable in a given context than others. Mosquitofish were used for the study because they are widespread and easily sampled from ponds in and around cities.

 

"We observed that individuals differed in their average levels of activity, but also differed in variability about their average activity," Dr Biro explained. "Some individuals chose to be active, others chose to be sedentary（久坐的）, some were consistent in their chosen level of activity, others not. But, we found no association between activity levels and predictability.

 

"What this tells us is that the fish differed in how unpredictable they were, and that this unpredictability is a consistent attribute over time.

 

"We believe that unpredictability might represent a form of behavioral flexibility⁶ that facilitates（促进） learning, or makes animals unpredictable to predators⁷ or competitors. Some have even referred to this phenomenon as representing 'free will' in animals. Our study, having confirmed that unpredictability is a trait, now sets the stage for further studies to test for this phenomenon in other species, and to tease out the causes and consequences of this behavioral variation."

 

The results of this study are published in the November issue of The American Naturalist⁸, one of the world's premier⁹ peer-reviewed publications in ecology, population biology, evolution, and conservation research.

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