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长期以来,香港一直因其房地产价格的波动性而吸引着全球地产界的目光。而如今,香港却由于另一个原因而举世瞩目--房地产衍生品。
Hong Kong has long attracted attention in the global property world due to the volatility1 of its real estate prices. Now, however, it has shot into the spotlight2 for another reason - property derivatives4. On the 27th Feb ABN Amro bank and Sun Hung Kai Financial announced that they had traded a property swap5 based on Hong Kong's residential6 market, marking the first such transaction ever to be done in Asia. With the ink now dry on the Hong Kong deal, bankers are predicting that a similar deal could take place in Australia in the next three months, followed by another transaction in Singapore in the next six months, and transactions in Japan and Korea towards the end of the year. That means that in a few months' time an investor7 may potentially be able to "buy" an office in Sydney, "sell" a retail8 store in London and "buy" a residential property in Hong Kong by placing just one phone call, bankers say. If so, this will mark a striking turnround for a sector9 that some bankers believe could soon be an exciting new frontier for financial innovation, not just in Hong Kong but around the world. Until a couple of years ago, property derivatives existed only in theory. But in recent months the sector has started to grow rapidly: in the UK, which barely had a market two years ago, there have been more than 300 deals worth in total close to £5bn, according to figures from Investment Property Databank, the research firm. A number of transactions have been completed in the US and continental10 Europe, and bankers expect this to grow. The inaugural11 transaction in Asia, at less than HK$100m ($13m), is small by global standards. But it comes amid growing appetite among cash-rich investors12 for new ways to invest in some of the world's fastest growing property sectors13 - that can also be alternatives to property stocks or real estate investment trusts, for example. "Property is one of the hottest games in town and the potential for growth of property derivatives in Hong Kong is huge," says Philip Ljubic, a director of property derivatives at ABN Amro, which completed on the 27th Feb's transaction with Sun Hung Kai Financial. In the Hong Kong transaction, traded as a one-year "price return swap," ABN Amro - the buyer of the derivative3 - gains exposure to the city's housing market by receiving the annual change in the HKU-HRPI, an index measuring the price of Hong Kong Island residential property. This index is one of the subsets of a series developed by the University of Hong Kong partly for this specific transaction. Sun Hung Kai Financial - the seller of the derivative - receives a previously14 agreed basis point spread over HIBOR, the local risk-free lending rate. People involved in the deal declined to reveal this spread. The All Hong Kong Residential Price Index, a weighted average of the three sub indices including the HKU-HRPI, is offered at 650 basis points over HIBOR or roughly 10.5 per cent. "Another big advantage is time," says Mr Ljubic. "A physical transaction can take weeks while a property derivative, once liquidity16 is established, could take minutes." Joseph Tong, chief executive officer for wealth management, capital markets and brokerage at Sun Hung Kai Financial, says: "Hong Kong has a very active property market and people get used to new financial instruments quickly. We expect there is going to be a sizeable growth potential for this product." But there are challenges ahead. One of the reasons why the market has been slow to take off in some countries is that underlying18 data needs to be of a cast-iron calibre - as is the case in the UK. It took about nine months to build the Hong index series while it took roughly 14 months to bring a Hong Kong property derivative transaction to market. Stephen Moore, ead of property derivatives at GFI Colliers, the inter-dealer broker17 for the Hong Kong transaction, says his firm is working with the National University of Singapore to create residential indices for Singapore's housing market, and this week, residential indices were launched for Australia. Commercial indices for Australia are expected in the next six weeks. He says: "The main issue with developing these products in the Asia-Pacific region, is that there are very few countries that have an adequate amount of transparency to develop credible19 and robust20 indices on which to trade...Without [a proper index], however, you cannot build a derivatives market."
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