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十年前,亚洲股市处于全球金融风暴的核心。而此次,它们在度过市场动荡方面的表现,却远远胜过发达市场。
Asian equities1 were at the centre of a global financial storm 10 years ago. This time they are riding out the market turbulence2 far better than developed markets. 这种抗跌性昨日表现得十分明显,当日不包括日本在内的摩根士丹利资本国际(MSCI)亚太指数上探507.618点的历史高点,超过了7月24日创下的506.239点的前期高点。该指数收复了7月份和8月份的“失地”,今年年初以来累计上涨27.7%。 The resilience was apparent yesterday when Morgan Stanley Capital International’s index of Asia-Pacific stocks excluding Japan hit a record high of 507.618, surpassing the previous peak of 506.239 from July 24. All the losses sustained in July and August have been recouped, leaving the index up 27.7 per cent since the beginning of the year. The recovery of the past few weeks has been “extremely V-shaped”, says Malcolm Wood, who leads the Asia-Pacific equity3 research team for Morgan Stanley in Hong Kong. During August, he said, Asian shares dropped by 18.6 per cent in 18 days But they have recovered those losses in just 23 trading days, compared with an average of 60 days to recover past peaks during Asian corrections over the past 20 years. “There have been only four periods in the last 20 years when the month-on-month returns have been greater than 20 per cent,” Mr Wood said. “The last was at the end of 1998.” The biggest gains have been in mainland China. The Shenzhen Composite index has risen by 173 per cent since the beginning of the year, and the Shanghai Composite is up by 104 per cent. “Asia has the cash and the west the debt,” says Hugh Young, managing director of Aberdeen Asset Management Asia in Singapore. “But the market rebound5 may be too sharp and vulnerable to another bout6 of jitters7, although ultimately Asian fundamentals will see Asia perform.” Asian firms are in much better condition than 10 years ago. Growth is sustained by rising cash flows. And profits are rising. Economic conditions throughout the region are also much better. 点击收听单词发音
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