2008年1月7日 "降息不是解决信贷市场动荡的办法"
文章来源: 文章作者: 发布时间:2008-01-21 06:41 字体: [ ]  进入论坛
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亿万富翁基金经理雷伊o戴利奥(Ray Dalio)表示,降息不是解决目前信贷市场动荡问题的方法。戴利奥是最近数月为美国联邦储备委员会(Federal Reserve)提供建议的专家之一。


Ray Dalio, the billionaire fund manager who was among the experts to advise the US Federal Reserve in recent months, has said interest rate cuts are not the solution to the turmoil1 in the credit markets.

基金公司Bridgewater Associates创始人和首席财务官戴利奥表示,实际上,长期解决方法将涉及汇率政策--比如中国人民币升值--以解决美国的贸易失衡问题。

Rather, Mr Dalio, founder2 and chief investment officer of money manager Bridgewater Associates, said the longer-term solution would involve currency policies - such as a revaluation of the Chinese renminbi - to address the US's trade imbalance.

"我们当前的信贷问题是国际收支问题的另一个方面,"他向英国《金融时报》表示:"这个世界一直充斥着流动性,资金不断从国外涌入,大量资金不得不迅速投资到位。"

"Our current credit problems are the flip3 side of our balance of payments problem," he told the Financial Times. "The world has been awash with liquidity4 and money has been pouring in from abroad, so lots of money had to get invested fast.

"美元作为全球主要的储备货币,加之主要盈余国家的货币盯住美元,这催生了以美元计价的债务泡沫--即大量不负责任的美元贷款。此轮抵押贷款危机仅仅是这个问题的表象之一。"


"The dollar being the world's dominant5 reserve currency, coupled with the major surplus countries having their currencies pegged6 to the dollar, has led to a dollar denominated debt bubble - a lot of irresponsible lending in dollars. The mortgage crisis is just one reflection of this."

戴利奥运呼吁美联储停止降息,并为美国经济增长设立一个"现实的"目标:每年增长2.2%。这将是上世纪30年代以来的最低水平,同时也低于美联储2.5%的目标增长率。

Mr Dalio called for the Fed to stop cutting interest rates and to set a "realistic" target rate for US growth of 2.2 per cent a year. That would be the lowest since the 1930s, and below the 2.5 per cent that is the Fed's target.

戴利奥表示,为了双方的利益,中国需要调高人民币兑美元汇率。

China needed to revalue its currency against the US dollar for the benefit of both countries, said Mr Dalio.

"(人民币)之所以处于目前的水平,是源自于一些历史原因,而它们不再适用,也是不可持续的。"他表示。

"The [renminbi] is where it is because of historical reasons that no longer apply and are unsustainable," he said.

"之所以说美元兑人民币及其他新兴市场货币贬值既有利于他们,也有利于我们,是因为我们有着相反的担忧--他们担心自己的经济过热和国外资产不断累积,而我们则担心本国的经济走软和我们的海外债务不断累积。"他表示。

"The reason a dollar devaluation against China's currency and other emerging market currencies is now good for both them and us is that we have exactly opposite concerns - they are concerned about their economy overheating and their foreign assets building up while we are concerned about our economy weakening and our foreign liabilities building up," he said.

 



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1 turmoil CKJzj     
n.骚乱,混乱,动乱
参考例句:
  • His mind was in such a turmoil that he couldn't get to sleep.内心的纷扰使他无法入睡。
  • The robbery put the village in a turmoil.抢劫使全村陷入混乱。
2 Founder wigxF     
n.创始者,缔造者
参考例句:
  • He was extolled as the founder of their Florentine school.他被称颂为佛罗伦萨画派的鼻祖。
  • According to the old tradition,Romulus was the founder of Rome.按照古老的传说,罗穆卢斯是古罗马的建国者。
3 flip Vjwx6     
vt.快速翻动;轻抛;轻拍;n.轻抛;adj.轻浮的
参考例句:
  • I had a quick flip through the book and it looked very interesting.我很快翻阅了一下那本书,看来似乎很有趣。
  • Let's flip a coin to see who pays the bill.咱们来抛硬币决定谁付钱。
4 liquidity VRXzb     
n.流动性,偿债能力,流动资产
参考例句:
  • The bank has progressively increased its liquidity.银行逐渐地增加其流动资产。
  • The demand for and the supply of credit is closely linked to changes in liquidity.信用的供求和流动资金的变化有密切关系。
5 dominant usAxG     
adj.支配的,统治的;占优势的;显性的;n.主因,要素,主要的人(或物);显性基因
参考例句:
  • The British were formerly dominant in India.英国人从前统治印度。
  • She was a dominant figure in the French film industry.她在法国电影界是个举足轻重的人物。
6 pegged eb18fad4b804ac8ec6deaf528b06e18b     
v.用夹子或钉子固定( peg的过去式和过去分词 );使固定在某水平
参考例句:
  • They pegged their tent down. 他们钉好了账篷。 来自《简明英汉词典》
  • She pegged down the stairs. 她急忙下楼。 来自《现代英汉综合大词典》
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