Economists predict GDP growth to fall slightly in '07_财经新闻

Economists predict GDP growth to fall slightly in '07

文章来源：文章作者：发布时间：2007-02-02 01:17 字体： [大中小]　进入论坛

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Chinanews, Beijing, Feb. 1 – China Business News recently conducted a questionnaire survey among some economists¹, asking about their prediction about the Chinese economic situation in 2007. Sixty-six economists from home and abroad responded to the questionnaire offering their views about important domestic and international economic issues.

According to the investigation² result, most economists think that Chinese economic growth rate will slightly fall in 2007. Some 62.5% of economists predict that Chinese GDP will grow by around 9-10%. Only 5% of the economists say that GDP growth rate will fall below 9%.

Their opinions are based mainly on the fact that the growth rates of both investment and export, the two main driving forces of the Chinese economy, will fall as expected.

Despite this, 32.5% of the economists say that the GDP growth rate will exceed 10% in 2007.

At the same time, most economists agree that trade surplus and foreign exchange reserves will remain high in 2007, and Renminbi appreciation³ will continue.

In predicting China’s monetary⁴ policies, 84.61% of the economists say that the central bank will continue to adjust its bank deposit reserve ratio. 46.15% of them say that the ratio will be raised by less than 1%, while 38.46% of the economists say it will exceed 1%.

Over 70% of the economists pick up the marketization of interest rates as the most urgent task for China’s financial reform.

The survey shows that 50% of the economists predict that in 2007, the central bank will continue to raise the interest rate, 44.74% of them say the central bank will keep the current interest rate unchanged, while 5.26% say the interest rate will fall.

In addition, 52.63% of the economists say Chinese stock markets will fluctuate in a large range in 2007, and 47.37% of them say the stock markets will hit a new high this year. Only 2.63% of the economists predict that stock markets will fall below the level of 2006.

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1 economists
n.经济学家，经济专家( economist的名词复数 )
参考例句：
The sudden rise in share prices has confounded economists. 股价的突然上涨使经济学家大惑不解。 Foreign bankers and economists cautiously welcomed the minister's initiative. 外国银行家和经济学家对部长的倡议反应谨慎。来自《简明英汉词典》

2 investigation
n.调查，调查研究
参考例句：
In an investigation,a new fact became known, which told against him.在调查中新发现了一件对他不利的事实。 He drew the conclusion by building on his own investigation.他根据自己的调查研究作出结论。

3 appreciation
n.评价；欣赏；感谢；领会，理解；价格上涨
参考例句：
I would like to express my appreciation and thanks to you all.我想对你们所有人表达我的感激和谢意。 I'll be sending them a donation in appreciation of their help.我将送给他们一笔捐款以感谢他们的帮助。

4 monetary
adj.货币的，钱的；通货的；金融的；财政的
参考例句：
The monetary system of some countries used to be based on gold.过去有些国家的货币制度是金本位制的。 Education in the wilderness is not a matter of monetary means.荒凉地区的教育不是钱财问题。

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