One in eight people in the world will have type 2 diabetes¹ by 2045 if obesity² continues to climb at the present rate, according to a new study.

 

根据一项新研究，如果肥胖症按照目前的速度发展下去，那么到2045年全球将有1/8的人患2型糖尿病。

 

Last year, 14% of the global population was obese³ and 9% had type 2 diabetes. By 2045, 22% will be obese and 14% will be suffering from type 2 diabetes, estimates presented at the European Congress on Obesity in Vienna suggest.

 

The implications of the expanding numbers are severe for health systems in every country. Diabetes UK estimates that the NHS spends £14 billion a year on the disease already, which is about 10% of its budget. People with diabetes need monitoring, treatment and care for the serious potential complications which can include amputations and blindness.

 

The study was carried out by scientists funded by the pharmaceutical⁴ company Novo Nordisk, which makes diabetes treatments, together with the Steno Diabetes Centre in Gentofte, Denmark, and University College London. They say that to prevent type 2 diabetes rates rising above 10%, obesity levels must come down by a quarter.

 

"The global prevalence of obesity and diabetes is projected to increase dramatically unless prevention of obesity is significantly intensified⁵. Developing effective global programs to reduce obesity offer the best opportunity to slow or stabilize⁶ the unsustainable prevalence of diabetes. The first step must be the recognition of the challenge that obesity presents and the mobilization of social service and disease prevention resources to slow the progression of these two conditions," said Dr Alan Moses of Novo Nordisk Research and Development in Søborg, Denmark.

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