The robot takeover of the world may not be as dramatic as we thought. It won’t come in the form of explosions, but rather in the form of employment. Yikes.
机器人掌管世界不会像我们想象的那么戏剧化。它会以受雇佣,而不是爆炸的形式出现。
In a classic
scenario1 of the student surpassing the master, our eagerness to make robots that are increasingly sophisticated and capable of truly
remarkable2 tasks has, perhaps, rendered ourselves rather
redundant3 (if not altogether obsolete). "Technology appears to be resulting in faster, wider and deeper degrees of hollowing-out than in the past," said Andy Haldane, the Bank's chief
economist4. Because the machines of today can not only perform menial tasks, but are also capable of creative thought, humans may no longer be able to compete.
"These machines are different," Haldane told CNN. "Unlike in the past, they have the potential to substitute for human brains as well as hands."
So what jobs are most at risk? According to an
Oxford5 University study published last year, loan officers, receptionists, paralegals,
salespeople6, drivers, security guards, fast food cooks, bartenders, and financial
advisers7 all risk at least a 50 percent chance of being
automated8. And at this year's Milken Global Conference in Los Angeles, Amy Webb, a digital media futurist and
founder9 of Webbmedia Group, suggested that added marketers (a rather broad term), journalists, and lawyers to the mix too.
Considering that much of
journalism10 is already done by way of computers, to say that I'm completely unconcerned would be a bit of a stretch.
But still, Haldane notes, humans don't really have all that much to fear. Just because robots replace the jobs of today doesn't mean that we won't create new ones for tomorrow. "Humans will adapt their skills to the tasks where they continue to have a comparative advantage over machines," he
noted11. Although to be fair, "The smarter machines become, the greater the likelihood that the space remaining for uniquely human skills could shrink further."
So let this be a lesson to you, current and future college students. Pick a major that isn't duplicable by robots. It may be the only way to stay competitive come the 22nd century.